$100 billion fluctuations occur daily in the crypto market, and as of now, BTC is displaying a $3,500 green candlestick on the daily chart. That, my friends, is what you call proper bull market behavior. Now, I don't want to toot my own horn as a perma bull or anything, but I've been predicting this current bull market for over two years.

Some of you might recall feeling fearful when BTC crossed $25K. If you're connected to the crypto community on Twitter, you'll notice that despite BTC flirting with $52,000 as I write this, extreme euphoria is still a distant notion.

BTC may correct soon, or maybe not—it doesn't matter all that much. The trend is clear, and the targets are set. Personally, I foresee Bitcoin reaching around $150,000, probably by the end of this year or the next. And, as is tradition, the market top will catch almost everyone off guard.

I'm not buying into overly ambitious targets for BTC this cycle, despite what the mainstream media might suggest. Sure, we have an ETF now, which undoubtedly boosts the price. However, like any asset, especially Bitcoin, which appears to follow certain liquidity cycles, demand will eventually wane, and the bubble will burst.


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I can't say I agree entirely with anyone in the crypto community regarding future market movements. I lean towards the belief that a recession might be looming, but I doubt it will plunge crypto prices below previous bear market lows.

I tend to agree with the narrative that a recession will blindside many and lead to euphoria, but I don't think it's imminent—especially not this year. Historically, election years tend to be bullish, and with elections happening in the Americas and elsewhere (excluding Russia and Ukraine), the markets are poised for growth.

This year looks promising, but... you should pay more attention to price action than narratives. Price action and certain indicators will signal the peak in the BTC market, but many will still hold out for $300,000 BTC or even a million-dollar BTC, which isn't realistic this cycle.

BTC isn't going to peak in late 2025 either. If we look at its previous cycle performance, BTC actually hit its peak in late April of that year, with DOGE following suit a month later. While BTC reached its highest price level for the bull market in November 2021, most of the momentum had dissipated by April.

In my opinion, if it weren't for the COVID shakeout, the peak would have arrived sooner. Assuming we don't face a black swan event this year and factoring in the halving and ETF approval, along with BTC's swift recovery from the $15,000 bottom, we might be closer to the peak than many anticipate.

Altcoins will likely take some time to catch up and peak a few months after BTC, but it won't be a year and a half from now, in my opinion.

I don't want to sway anyone's decisions during this bull market. I genuinely expect the cycles to compress over time as adoption grows, with bust phases becoming shorter but more explosive. There's still significant upside, especially for altcoins, but remember: every bull market begins in extreme fear and ends in extreme euphoria.

Keep a close eye on your emotions and the charts, and take action. Don't repeat my mistake from the past two cycles by waiting for unreachable price targets or for the market to fulfill your dreams. The markets reward patience and sharp execution of plans. 

*Thanks for your attention,*
*Adrian*