![](https://i.imgur.com/RT0dYoL.png)

Splinterlands is kinda on a tear right now.  Untamed has gone over really well and we're not even at the season's end.  We just recorded our All Time High for numbers of players.  Transactions will likely show up again at the end of the season and I wouldn't be surprised if we have our first 4k+ daily active user day (player and transactor) sometime over the next week.

This isn't meant to replace the State of Splinterlands next week, but I wanted to report on Expected pack Value and the Flippening and added just a touch of other graphs too.


## Expected Pack Value - UNTAMED Flipping is live!!!

![](https://i.imgur.com/73FzQtC.png)

I just got done talking to Jarvie and the conclusion I have is that the Flippening is here and it's in hardcore mode.

Between the discount through a full site purchase, referral bonus, and potentially a ~10% discount via DEC purchases you're able to get packs for around $1.50.

The expected value depends on your choices.  The expected value of pack, without counting any airdrops in the total,  is
- 1.78 if you don't use potions 
- 2.20 if you use the legendary potion
- 2.12 if you use the alchemy potion
- 2.66 if you use both potions

There's an issue of timing in that not all cards are going to sell immediately, but for patient people, you can buy packs at ~$1.50 and sell the cards for $1.78.  Of course, individual results vary because of RNG. You could get lucky or slammed when buying packs, but generally speaking the odds are that using current math you'll be ahead by ~19%.  Oh, and then you get the airdrops...  These include an airdrop of 5 legendary summoners and 1 legendary dragon summoner.  

For this last airdrop you should have received 1 legendary airdrop for every 300 packs you purchased.  RNG factors in.  I should have gotten 5.  I picked up 1.  that's ok, I'm saving muh luck for the legendary summoners!

But all of that is to say, this current market is offering you 19% bonus for flipping packs + the value of whatever untamed airdrops you claim, but it requires patience.

Of course none of that is guarenteed, but using Jarvie's math I just wanted to explain it in simple terms.  It's not financial advice because I don't know your family circumstances so it's impossible to guide you.  But as I'm sitting here trying to figure out the math for me and how I choose to invest in the cards this is what I'm calculating.

## Marketcap

![](https://i.imgur.com/Qiu99S2.png)

While I'm talking about the game check this out!!!

Steempeak is tracking marketcap.  They use a list price, a bid price, a market price, and a DEC price.

Combine that with the first marketcap tracking and you can start imagining ribbons forming on the chart of how to track the various prices.

![](https://i.imgur.com/G37Vjno.png)

5% benes to both steempeak and the dao.