Stock to flow 120724

View this thread on: d.buzz | hive.blog | peakd.com | ecency.com
·@darkflame·
0.000 HBD
Stock to flow 120724
<center>

How many days are remaining until the next halving?


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/23t72oyWKeCxdsE5j1qCBv5BXnSu5EDjMDQHdkCTxEtsbvCDdwnVaoXuBS4uVC3KA8gm8.png)
https://charts.bitbo.io/stock-to-flow/

# 1005 Days remain
until the '3.125 coins per block' reward decreases to 1.5625 coins.

![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/245wanAsfdyrYfgyygAHFMV39Ut5mSqdNE6hxRcWMWyNg4dnEerrWwYZjCfah8W5b3mdm.png)
https://www.bitcoinblockhalf.com/

> Total Bitcoins left to mine:	1,108,622
Total Bitcoins left to mine until next blockhalf:	452,372

### 40% of the coins remaining to be mined, will be created by April 12th 2028. This is the final countdown!


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/23swe9k7Ny3LadN8RphG4zNkrSaQzEB6aHw5uKNxX7fcGWe94zhumLQkyLHtMLExUHq1d.png)



Using the color gradient I can identify approximately where in the cycle BTC is.


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/23t773UDjonmMU5UqMBANBCBEc8JHAcvUm6Nc7QeDbEQDz97mPn9odcyVNbSf3dzaCNXD.png)

How low can the price of BTC go right now? 
During the last two cycles, the price continued to rise.


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/23tGXhYDZCFFH6Ho4Gihj9dtGiYAR9QjtrFnWabxw7asc5htWih36XNHsmJbcwZHrqvLL.png)
https://bitcointicker.co/stamp/btc/usd/6Mth/

6 month low: $74,434 USD.
6 month high: $118,839 USD


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/23y8siSStgzcefkjYn2Qpm26oe6HTVPJK4hrYyAdybf6aJNd9mAQfs6Y4WNsgs7YbbPEB.png)


Proverbs 21:5: "The plans of the diligent lead to profit as surely as haste leads to poverty."

#### Ecclesiastes 3:1, 6: "To everything there is a season, and a time to every purpose under the heaven... a time to keep, and a time to throw away."


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/23vsV99Gpzn8YwFQj7fLsXiPV7fYZ5FeMgWuoDQnm2sRvPiBnjfvRtcBigknX7VCWLXGY.png)

Ok grandpa, back in your day there wasn't $108 Trillion dollars.


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/23t72wqfpo4k5W8xPMLth5aApBkWiw8zuVN2yrcPPtFEcRGHSvoUAba4PDAwEK6vGaeWg.png)
https://bitcoincounterflow.com/charts/m2-global/

### As long as global M2 continues to expand, Bitcoin will likely rise and fall in its cycles, accumulating more and more market cap.

> Claude: 'The statement is well-supported by empirical data and analysis: Bitcoin’s market cycles and long-term market cap growth have shown a strong, though not absolute, correlation with the expansion of global M2 money supply'*P


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/23tcP5UcQFe958CGFeUaCGYS2CY96LHC9gvooRtPPmjN11bRDgUPLVq61nhviCVwyovyX.png)
<a href="https://studio.glassnode.com/charts/indicators.PiCycleTop?s=1504137600&u=1746014400&zoom=">BTC: Pi Cycle Top Indicator</a>

> "The Pi Cycle indicators is composed of the 111 day moving average (111SMA) and a 2x multiple of the 350 day moving average (350SMA x 2) of the asset's price. This metric shows when an asset becomes significantly overheated (the shorter MA reaches the levels of the larger MA), and has historically been a good indicator for cycle tops. This metric was first put forward by Philip Swift."


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/23w2gpgEe6JsJCFmGY1bUQVYtAb98N2Vdb6JG4Bc6mGPzcVdTMtpw4x7kzVhtVmPJVgpL.png)


# Today's Mayer Multiple: 1.21

![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/23swdzwzmaKR5XuoeLBoVXmj1g6vKgCpQZTksSbrJH75unfiMDAoxUK3KSfUjipZZYT7M.png)




> "The Mayer Multiple is the multiple of the current Bitcoin price over the 200-day moving average. Why 2.4? Simulations performed by Trace Mayer determined that in the past, **the best long-term result were achieved by accumulating Bitcoin whenever the Mayer Multiple was below 2.4.**"

Finally, this final chart shows what could happen if this cycle repeats.


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/23swbmqUBWgvmzwgxyusuL9zrPy2TmxjVwKq8ymL6MnovV5NrYK3EipuQa6U8LNscnuDc.png)
https://charts.bitbo.io/cycle-repeat/

This is NOT a prediction, just a model, which suggests BTC could reach $302,232 USD by June 12th 2029, <u>if this cycle repeats exactly</u> (which it wont). It does however give us some perspective about the direction the BTC price could go over the next 4 years. 


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/darkflame/242DCD6EefNtkXCVLH53h8Xx4QHzLbim3arN5hHBYbbc5MdnV1eU4DPGbzRW2R4HZCSn3.png)


#### Do your own research!
*This is not financial advice, just observations over time.*
Don't buy BTC unless you can afford to lose it.



-----------------


@Darkflame
</center>
👍 , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,