![1000323839.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/josediccus/23wgPfXxizUKbWpzkZtrox6Z7yyHW77nAT3b6uS8UVaDagJs8oUSntxqxSKavBMDvUDVc.png)


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It's that time of the market when you're not exactly sure what's happening. It is no longer a bear market, but it is also not a fully fledged bull market. This is the market cycle's most extended period. Longest in the sense that psychologically people can not wait any longer; they have waited years during the *FUD* and dip, and waiting for another 10 to 12 months now feels exhausting, especially since BTC has given them hope, but not enough to show that the market is truly in a bull cycle. 


## Waiting is a difficult process. 

One of the most difficult things to accomplish. If you think waiting is easy, you have not experienced a situation in which you are running out of time and the item you are waiting for is not forthcoming. Many people are glued to X (Twitter) and Google for updates, but it is disappointing that they will have to return to their daily lives, problems, and whatever else they have been doing during the bear market.


 However, it is incorrect to assume that the ETF FOMO will outweigh the halving, but I believe that one of the reasons people did not begin counting down to the BTC HALVING is because of the ETF. However, excitement is beneficial in these circumstances. In 2020, I did not think people were as excited as they are now in 2024, but 2021 went on to arguably become the most iconic bull market in history. 




So, we are going to have this massive buzz about the ETF and the Halving, even if many people think it is all a fluke. The ETF was not a fluke, after all. Regardless of its original intent, it generates a lot of interest, which drives the price up. So I believe the halving will have the same effect, but it will be minimal and nothing out of the ordinary. This means that BTC may only reach 75k or 78k by the end of April; I do not expect it to go higher, but each day brings the market closer to its all-time high, which is good. 





## Can We Do Better Than 2021?


> **It remains to be seen**


Many people are attempting to correct previous market mistakes by heavily preparing, which is good, but it also causes market anxiety, making people more prone to making mistakes. Hive was founded in 2020, and many people migrated to Hive from Steemit, even transferring their assets from Steemit to Hive. This created a massive buying opportunity for Hive, and many people were extremely positive about Hive, which contributed to it reaching 3.4$ during the last bull run.



## What About Hive? 

 For Hive, the main difference between now and 2024 is that many people are not staking as much as they were in 2020, but the products we have now are better. Splinterlands is currently struggling with their decisions and choices, which may not end well. However, if everyone builds as the population did in 2024, we may double our previous ATH, but we do not have this collective building. There is not the same level of collective motivation that we had following the hostile takeover of Steemit.



 Whether you like it or not, the hostile takeover was a dark horse for Hive's success in 2021, and if we can replicate some of that behavior, we will be successful again. 


### Speculation & Predictions Is All We Currently Have

However, all of this is speculation, and the market has the ability to prove anyone wrong at any time. I hope the market proves me wrong and escalates beyond expectations. However, I believe there is an element to the market that no one is currently predicting, and we do not seem to understand what it is. I believe that the next cycle will differ and that unexpected events will occur.

 As is always the case, there will be winners and losers, because not everyone who is intentional and prepared will succeed. The halving is just over two weeks away, and we will soon see what happens to the entire market, not just Bitcoin. 








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> **Interested in some more of my works**



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##### [Is it Easy To Make Money?](https://peakd.com/hive-167922/@josediccus/is-it-easy-to-make-money-)


##### [Nigeria: A Unique Business Market & Industry](https://peakd.com/hive-167922/@josediccus/nigeria-a-unique-business-market-and-industry)


##### [Virtual Bank Apps In Nigeria: An Experience Of Gamification](https://peakd.com/hive-167922/@josediccus/tfgktsjk)



##### [How To Find The Next "BIG" Meme Coin](https://peakd.com/hive-167922/@josediccus/how-to-find-the-next-big-meme-coin)


##### [Personal Finance: Achieving Intentional "Saving" Goals](https://peakd.com/hive-167922/@josediccus/snyczgol)



##### [Playing The Survival Game: Human Nature In Introspection](https://peakd.com/hive-167922/@josediccus/playing-the-survival-game-human-nature-in-introspection-rufcp3)



##### ["Un-PAYING" The Debt You Owe](https://hive.blog/hive-167922/@josediccus/-unpaying-the-debt-you-owe)



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![png_20230102_074302_0000.png](https://images.hive.blog/DQmeV2CFmYVojVvzuFv3ZDySDqjEg2qXhfJNTjmmi5uCTss/png_20230102_074302_0000.png)













 

Posted Using [InLeo Alpha](https://inleo.io/@josediccus/what-happens-to-the-entire-market-after-the-btcs-halving-)