Stock-to-Flow says Bitcoin is right where it should be and will hit $100k by end of next year

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·@jrcornel·
0.000 HBD
Stock-to-Flow says Bitcoin is right where it should be and will hit $100k by end of next year
# Stock to Flow says Bitcoin will hit $100k by the end of next year

Even with all the volatility as of late, things are still following right along with the much publicized stock to flow model.

Check it out:

![image.png](https://images.hive.blog/DQmNSo3vQL1smAcGWepdVGR5hu4SgYqG6QsbwK73LbYRRQv/image.png)

(Source: https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1267214325661433856)

As you can see we just printed our first red dot of this price cycle.

The red and orange dots are the fun dots by the way.

If you look back on that chart posted above you can see that bitcoin tended to see its biggest price moves during the red and orange dot periods, so seeing a red dot is always a welcome sign.

They don't go up in a straight line like the white line on the chart but when they turn up they start heading north relatively sharply.

# What's should we expect going forward?

Well, if we are to believe in the stock to flow model, which we should considering how closely it has modeled bitcoin's price movement since bitcoin was created over a decade ago, good things are on the way.

How good you might be wondering?

Well, according to the stock to flow model, we should see bitcoin hit $100k by the end of next year.

That means at some point within the next 18 months we should have seen bitcoin hit $100k at some point along the way.

Which would represent more than a 10x return to anyone buying bitcoin at the currently levels.

Not too shabby and sounds almost like the return of an altcoin!

Here's PlanB's comment on that price prediction and his model:

> "Somewhere between a year and a year-and-a-half after the [May 2020] halving, so say before Christmas 2021, bitcoin should be, or should have been, above $100,000. If that’s not the case, then all bets are off, and [the model] probably breaks down. I don’t expect that to happen."

(Source: https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD)

So, if bitcoin doesn't hit $100k by the end of 2021 then the stock to flow model is no longer a reliable indicator and we can pretty much throw it out the window.

# Another arrow in our bitcoin quiver...

The stock to flow model price predictions are a little different than the previous halving related price predictions.

Many of those point to a price between $100k and $250k by the end of next year, and those are based solely on how bitcoin behaved after its last 2 halvings.

Then you can add this stock to flow model prediction in there as well at $100k...

Oh and btw none of these models are based upon the massive money printing, global pandemic, and civil unrest that is barreling down upon us.

All of which likely play into bitcoin's favor.

Initially talk of $100k bitcoin sounded kind of crazy, but when you add all this up it starts to sound a lot more plausible.

In fact, I would argue based on what is happening right now, the odds of bitcoin hitting $100k within the next 18 months may be better than the odds that it does not. Wow that sounds crazy saying. :)

Literally everything is all set up, now it just has to go out and do it.

Stay informed my friends.

-Doc
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