Decision Time .:. Claim Locked PolyCUBs or Not?

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·@ph1102·
0.000 HBD
Decision Time .:. Claim Locked PolyCUBs or Not?
Every next week, we are closer and closer to the question from the title, to claim locked tokens on [Polycub](https://polycub.com), or to wait 90 days and save that 50% of penalties... I know that the question was present from the beginning, but knowing that we can earn 50% easily through staking Polycubs into the xPolycub pool, it wasn't that tempting... 

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![PolyCUB Claim.jpg](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/ph1102/23tHJm3C7NnoiDb9fXTxpwR5ysRszfJoXRfeHJe466SVzrZjUxuoMQLpR8ZbLRVPa67pa.jpg)
*Created in Canva.com*
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I remember the first time I have entered the xPoly and put some tokens inside... The ratio was 1.7x and that number doubled in a couple of hours, which means that I have "recovered" my 50% penalty almost right away... I had no doubts about the strategy for the first 2-3 weeks as I was sure that the number when I enter the xPolycub pool will double in the next 3-4 weeks... 

The number of rewarded POLYCUBs per block went down from 5 to 3, and in a couple of days, it will go down to 2 pCUBs... That means that we will have a drop of 33% compared to what we have at the moment... Why is that important for the xPolycub pool? 

The difference between the xPolycub pool and other pools is that it gets rewards from the "inflation" like others, BUT it is filled also with those 50% penalties... As a matter of fact, that was the MAIN source of "income" to the xPolycub pool... So, lower block rewards on the whole platform, fewer Polycub tokens in penalties, and slower growth of the xPoly pool!

So, that doubling of the CURRENT PC/xPC ratio will be slower and slower through the next weeks and months... What was just a couple of hours, in the beginning, will turn into months in the future... And speaking of months, leaving locked rewards unclaimed gets more and more appealing... 

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![Polycub02.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/ph1102/23swi94vMaxvumdEcopEhLvUQHSZUcMJmKXKQpWKWSYE9AFUtYbpb7KYn4tyveMS6iMjx.png)
*Screenshot from website*
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As you can see from the screenshot, the current PC/xPC ratio is a bit over 16 (at the moment of writing this post)... As the APR on the xPolycub pool isn't exact, I have followed the growth of the ratio in the last 10-14 days in a simple spreadsheet (nerd alert! 🤓)... The idea was to follow the price and the xPoly ratio every day at the same time... The last number that I got was that the xPoly is growing around 3.2% per day, which would mean that the current APR in the xPolycub pool is 1168%... In the week before, daily growth was around 5-8% depending on the part of the week... 


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So, in conclusion, if you want to see the ratio doubled, you would need 100/3.2 days to get there, which leads us to 31 days, or a month... Now, that WOULD be true, if we wouldn't have another 2 big Polucub rewards reductions... The first one will come in 3-4 days and the second one in 10-11 days... They will mess up our calculation a lot... :)

In 3-4 days the xPoly could grow another 10-12%, in the next week maybe another 15% in total (if we deduct 33% from 3.2%), and the week after the slash will be 50% (rewards from 2 to 1 pcub per block), so maybe we could add another 7-8%... So, after 15-18 days we could be at "only" 33-35% over the current ratio and then we will slow down even more... 

Anyway, after reading [the roadmap for the next additions to Polycub](https://leofinance.io/@leofinance/introducing-the-polycub-roadmap-or-xpolycub-bonding-and-collateralized-lending), it's almost irrelevant which road will you choose... To claim or not... As there is no rush for cashing out as the whole platform should be sustainable... The price shouldn't go toward zero all the time as it goes with other Defi 1.0 platforms... 

*DISCLAIMER: Any of this isn't financial advice and these are only my calculations and speculations for the platform... I'm just one of the investors like you...*

Thank you for your valuable time,

~ph~

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