[prediction] test strategy 1

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·@pishio·
0.000 HBD
[prediction] test strategy 1
# not good strategy 
![](https://images.ecency.com/DQmSbUhZ3DDZgYyXrYxAX7Xsp55tayS8BdA6vvaknjSCp7K/68de5751_9128_40fe_90fb_350aa5fbd11a.jpeg)

# test strategy
![](https://images.ecency.com/DQmcBt8aB1t1PxN1EcowFbd4aKTw8rGdo1bhyiY81zH5Kgw/1c4615d5_b841_430a_a359_6c1dbb74e236.jpeg)

![](https://images.ecency.com/DQmV6JdxbRh92ZqvqFH93i84ophXH2WbomgM3aNNMJ8o2PR/64e5ada6_a301_4df5_8411_cbd234a771d3.jpeg)

I am testing my prediction strategy.  I have experienced many trials and failures during that time.

Simply automated algorithms are not profitable.

# What I realized is:  
* Don't fall for the gambler's fallacy.  The odds of a coin toss game are always 1/2.
* Martingale betting is very risky.

This is a temporary probability.  I will stack more tests and data.
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