<div class="text-justify">

The US mid-term elections are on tomorrow, which will likely cause more drama in the media and calls for fake this and that - when the largest fakery is the feigned outrage from people to feel like they are doing something meaningful with their lives. Politics (especially US) has become pure entertainment now, without even a thin veil of modesty covering it. Just look at how politicians behave on Twitter - *from both sides* of the aisle.

![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/tarazkp/23swrh5aygvoBjviDvLzjVAkAvDmYM2GkDECuUADnRByiTBno3oGC7pfqYwHW8ogzSapJ.png)

But, sometime back in the distant past of the late winter (Northern Hemisphere) or so, I marked this election as a potential turning point for the markets. It was after that @azircon mentioned how the equity market bears last around 9 months or so and a couple days ago @jphamer1 said:

>You can usually sense it and at the minute feels like it's actually [BOTTOMED OMG.](https://peakd.com/hive/@jphamer1/whats-this)

If we really have bottomed, this could be quite an interesting next six months, if it also coincides with the Fed reducing the interest rates again, which it has pushed up aggressively to reduce the inflation it has been part of causing over the last two years, through very shady monetary policy. 

While inflation is unlikely to be reduced very fast as there is plenty of unchecked price gouging ongoing, a lot of people are expecting interest rates to keep rising in response. This means that many people are going to be moving their investment money away from stocks (as many are crashing to hell) and into safer term deposits to attract on interest, even though the interest rates aren't *that high,* they just seem it because they have been *incredibly low* for many years. 

Once all that money is safely secured, it is time to reverse policy and give a chance for those who are liquid to pile in early, rapidly driving the values up again, making people slow on the trigger due to uncertainty, scramble late into the hype, giving near immediate returns on the early investments. Then, the early in can start laddering out again, profit averaging their gains, whilst the rest of the people are effectively driving up the prices for ever decreasing percentage gains.

And as we know, the crypto markets are *tiny* in comparison, but people expect *massive profits,* which means that they know that 5x isn't enough, so they are going to hold for 10x instead. This translates as enormous upthrust in the markets and very high volatility, which will also come crashing back to earth, soon after. 

>But we don't want to think about that.

*We want the highs!*

And, there will be plenty to be had as scarcity kicks in, because despite all the weak hands, the largest players in the game have surprisingly strong hands, so as the early sellers peter out fast, the market can keep driving upward, with the *real holders* not having to sell anywhere near as much in order to realize large gains, creating even more scarcity. At the top, they can unload and dump the market back down and while they will have a large technical loss on what they are still holding, they will also have plenty of liquids they can use to buyback greater volumes, maintain the same, or survive until the next run up, where they will rinse and repeat with another slice in their bags. 

What goes up, must come down, and this also applies to inflation and interest rates. It doesn't really matter who wins the various elections, the next presidential election is in 2024 and the campaigning will start much earlier than that, meaning that no party in power wants to go in after years of pushing interest rates up and hurting the voters. They will want to do some triage and offer some incentives in time for the voting public to hopefully "forget" about the years of pain and mismanagement, much like how there are calls for a "Pandemic Amnesty" by those who caused so much of this pain in the world over the last few years. 

>Just forgive and forget - we both said some things - I beat you black and blue, punished and ridiculed you... *Just get over it.* 

Water under the bridge.

Now, I  don't know if *all our dreams will come true,* or it is going to be the stuff of nightmares, but I can feel it too - *something is coming.* But hey, this is crypto, there is always something around the corner waiting for us, right? Sometimes though, that corner feels like a very wide curve that is doubling back on itself into a circle. 

## Remember this?

![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/tarazkp/23viTK68YE6Vu3RrNxsJu8awexVj2SQ1UTD12BZYyNDbeh9B1K3YW5CjNAZZ531aU92xC.png)

## And this?


![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/tarazkp/23viR5W3GGS6CsBNomkULNMSwYLkQntihMhcd27Kye8hyEyoMwp8MqRufX9ufitMUqBmP.png)

Just in case, are you ready?

Taraz
[ Gen1: Hive ]



</div>

Posted Using [LeoFinance <sup>Beta</sup>](https://leofinance.io/@tarazkp/the-catalyst-s-trigger)